Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.003576 0.003757 0.003941 0.004145 0.004363 0.004590 0.004845
2025-03-23 0.003216 0.003479 0.003759 0.004081 0.004442 0.004835 0.005298
2025-03-30 0.002984 0.003292 0.003629 0.004027 0.004487 0.005005 0.005638
2025-04-06 0.002839 0.003181 0.003564 0.004028 0.004578 0.005215 0.006016
2025-04-13 0.002641 0.002995 0.003398 0.003894 0.004494 0.005204 0.006120
2025-04-20 0.002547 0.002922 0.003355 0.003898 0.004569 0.005381 0.006454
2025-04-27 0.002495 0.002893 0.003361 0.003958 0.004710 0.005639 0.006898
2025-05-04 0.002398 0.002805 0.003290 0.003917 0.004720 0.005730 0.007127
2025-05-11 0.002318 0.002734 0.003235 0.003892 0.004745 0.005838 0.007380
2025-05-18 0.002243 0.002666 0.003181 0.003863 0.004763 0.005934 0.007618
2025-05-25 0.002216 0.002656 0.003197 0.003925 0.004900 0.006191 0.008091
2025-06-01 0.002159 0.002606 0.003160 0.003914 0.004937 0.006314 0.008377
2025-06-08 0.002097 0.002547 0.003111 0.003886 0.004951 0.006407 0.008627
2025-06-15 0.002026 0.002474 0.003041 0.003828 0.004921 0.006434 0.008782
2025-06-22 0.001962 0.002409 0.002979 0.003778 0.004899 0.006472 0.008953
2025-06-29 0.001923 0.002375 0.002956 0.003779 0.004949 0.006613 0.009286
2025-07-06 0.001837 0.002278 0.002846 0.003656 0.004815 0.006480 0.009182
2025-07-13 0.001805 0.002249 0.002828 0.003660 0.004865 0.006619 0.009517
2025-07-20 0.001793 0.002248 0.002846 0.003715 0.004990 0.006875 0.010054
2025-07-27 0.001748 0.002201 0.002801 0.003677 0.004976 0.006919 0.010242
2025-08-03 0.001710 0.002163 0.002766 0.003654 0.004983 0.006993 0.010485
2025-08-10 0.001673 0.002125 0.002730 0.003628 0.004983 0.007056 0.010711
2025-08-17 0.001666 0.002128 0.002751 0.003685 0.005111 0.007328 0.011316